Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 2.999696 3.353559 3.736514 4.182401 4.688119 5.244818 5.905335
2024-10-20 2.451549 2.915088 3.452036 4.122435 4.940432 5.910341 7.153804
2024-10-27 2.018214 2.510363 3.109659 3.897794 4.913846 6.188811 7.924271
2024-11-03 1.800696 2.324873 2.990250 3.904312 5.138994 6.765328 9.096990
2024-11-10 1.666826 2.222843 2.954675 3.999355 5.470076 7.493246 10.533097
2024-11-17 1.535271 2.105749 2.880690 4.024788 5.695470 8.084305 11.828114
2024-11-24 1.424668 2.004035 2.813774 4.046356 5.907415 8.664837 13.158674
2024-12-01 1.328867 1.912831 2.750519 4.062019 6.104452 9.232582 14.521254
2024-12-08 1.217259 1.788067 2.625918 3.970826 6.123910 9.521087 15.458491
2024-12-15 1.137815 1.704148 2.553975 3.951370 6.249190 9.981475 16.720667
2024-12-22 1.062711 1.620527 2.474886 3.911632 6.334157 10.377974 17.908703
2024-12-29 1.038215 1.613484 2.513859 4.064553 6.750168 11.366567 20.255317
2025-01-05 0.978492 1.547342 2.455561 4.054609 6.893632 11.909049 21.873386
2025-01-12 0.918381 1.476262 2.383855 4.015526 6.981822 12.361063 23.375509
2025-01-19 0.831625 1.354936 2.219571 3.801111 6.733344 12.168254 23.581995
2025-01-26 0.792008 1.310335 2.181996 3.808259 6.892320 12.754673 25.433294
2025-02-02 0.769883 1.293994 2.191581 3.900884 7.219491 13.696142 28.142793
2025-02-09 0.738583 1.259345 2.166133 3.925661 7.416376 14.396793 30.420580
2025-02-16 0.709078 1.225828 2.140122 3.946648 7.606451 15.100563 32.794052
2025-02-23 0.680905 1.192806 2.112547 3.961885 7.785199 15.796792 35.239499
2025-03-02 0.640657 1.135143 2.035424 3.873181 7.739961 16.006932 36.557985
2025-03-09 0.612550 1.098270 1.994872 3.854255 7.839397 16.541470 38.732161
2025-03-16 0.583905 1.058671 1.946546 3.815599 7.892379 16.976045 40.712714